The Golden State Warriors look to extend their recent streak against the Los Angeles Clippers when they play host Saturday night in Oakland. The Warriors — despite listing guard Stephen Curry as questionable — head into the matchup as double-digit favorites, having gone 7-0 straight up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last seven contests vs the Clippers.
The Clippers haven’t defeated the Warriors in quite some time, the last victory coming on Dec. 24, 2014. Over the next month, L.A. will have three chances at changing their recent history against the dynasty-in-the-making that is the Warriors’ roster.
“I think the main thing with us is we’ve wanted to beat them so bad that we forced it every time,” guard Austin Rivers said. “Every time we play them, we force it, and they know it and they use it to their advantage and they beat us – every single time.”
The Warriors are and should be heavy favorites – with or without Curry in the lineup. The Clippers don’t have a true point guard worth game-planning for on the roster with Chris Paul out and Blake Griffin isn’t enough of an offensive superstar to shoulder the load against a foe like Golden State.
AccuScore simulations don’t give the Clippers much of a chance to even cover the double-digit spread. After 10,000-plus simulations, the Warriors win games by about 15 points on average. Keep in mind, this is assuming Curry is in the lineup.
The Warriors have been dominating as of late, going 6-1 ATS over their last seven games after going just 4-13 ATS in 17 games prior to that. They’re still the best team in basketball with a 39-7 overall record, but covering spreads has been tougher this season than last. Golden State is 22-23-1 ATS so far this season.
In their last 14 games as double-digit favorites at home, Golden State is an impressive 12-2 SU, but just 6-8 ATS.
Tip: Keep an eye on the line and how much movement there is with the news Curry might be out. With or without him, Warriors covering and the UNDER seem like the safest wagers.
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With the total line set at 224.5-to-226, the UNDER is a four-star AccuScore hot trend. The UNDER is 6-2 in the last eight games between these two sides, and 6-0 in the Warriors’ last six games overall.
The Clippers — without a fully, healthy roster — should have some trouble putting up points against the best defense in the league.
Will DeAndre Jordan be Effective?
Clippers center DeAndre Jordan is expected to meet up with the team in Oakland, CA Saturday morning after flying to Texas Friday afternoon to attend a funeral.
If the Clippers have any chance to even stay competitive, Jordan needs to play like the best big man in the league. Defensively, he’s even more relied upon currently with Paul out and thus, a more porous first line of defense. Offensively, any lack of production leads to Griffin being doubled more easily.
He’ll be matched up with Zaza Pachulia to start the game, but keep an eye on whether or not he’s able to get some points down low when the Warriors utilize their smaller lineups. If Jordan is able to get some production outside of putbacks and pick-and-rolls, the Warriors have to respect him on that end of the floor. Simple as that.
Jordan is projected to finish with 11 points, 13 rebounds and 2 blocks – via AccuScore simulations.
Can Marreese Speights’ Inside Info Help the Clippers?
Former Warriors and current Clippers reserve Marreese Speights has been giving his team some insight on the Warriors.
“Mo tells us some of the inside secrets,” Austin Rivers said. “He just says their mindset versus us. Little things like that that’s not going to like give us the inside scoop on how to stop their offense or nothing like that, but just seeing how they felt toward us is crazy.”
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