Sports Out West

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers: AccuScore Game 7 Preview

AccuScore has the Los Angeles Clippers as overwhelming 80.5 percent favorites to win game seven against the Golden State Warriors Saturday night. The average score after 10,000 simulations is 111-100, with the Clippers having a 60.6 percent chance of covering the -7 spread. There is a 59 percent chance the total combined score goes over 206.5. While both teams have a fairly comparable probability at a close win (4 points or less), the Clippers have more than 7 times the chance of the Warriors at a big win (10 points or more). 

Looking at simulated stats, the Warriors lose due to their turnovers. On average they turned the ball over 19 times per simulated game compared to 13 for the Clippers. The Clippers also had the same margin of advantage in the rebounding category. 

Betting Trends

  • The Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Warriors’ last 9 games.
  • The Warriors are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Warriors’ last 5 games on the road.
  • The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
  • The Clippers are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Clippers’ last 9 games.
  • The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home.

Projected Leaders

Stephen Curry: 23 points (3-8 3PA-3PM), 9 assists, 5 rebounds

Klay Thompson: 17 points (3-7 3PA-3PM), 3 rebounds, 2 assists

Chris Paul: 21 points, 12 assists, 5 rebounds, 4 steals

Blake Griffin: 20 points, 11 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 block

 

Photo Credit: USA Today

All projection data provided by AccuScore

 

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Rohit Ghosh

LA Clippers beat writer
Rohit is an L.A.-based sports journalist who contributes to SB Nation's Silver Screen and Roll, AccuScore, and the Taxi Squad Show based out of Utah. He also runs his own sports blog, Metta Chronicles. Follow him on Twitter @RohitGhosh where he discusses AccuScore projection data, a variety of sports-related topics, and even some Jazz music.