Sports Out West

Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers: AccuScore Preview

AccuScore has the Los Angeles Clippers as solid 81.9 percent favorites to win Thursday night’s matchup with the Los Angeles Lakers. The average score after 10,000 simulations is 118-103, with the Clippers covering the -11 spread in nearly 60 percent of simulated games. Simply put, AccuScore expects a blowout in favor of LAC. The Clippers have nearly 13 times the chance of the Lakers to get a big win (10 points or more). 

Betting Trends

  • The Clippers are 5-0 ATS (against the spread) in their last 5 games overall, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record. 
  • After allowing at least 125 points in a game, which the Lakers did Tuesday vs Pelicans, LAL is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. 
  • The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between these 2 teams.
  • The total has gone Over 10 times in the last 11 games between these 2 teams. Note: Nearly 58 percent of AccuScore simulations for this game had a total combined score under 225.  

Projected Leaders

Blake Griffin: 29 points (55% FG), 11 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 turnovers

Chris Paul: 20 points (49% FG), 11 assists, 5 rebounds, 2 turnovers

Kent Bazemore: 18 points (41% FG), 4 assists, 4 rebounds

Pau Gasol: 16 points (51% FG), 9 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 blocks

What to Watch For

In their last six games, the Lakers are giving up nearly 116 points per game. They’re ranked No. 29 in the league in defense and their only shot at keeping this game close is to be on fire from beyond the arc. LAL is projected to attempt nearly 6-7 more three-pointers than LAC. Either way, getting a win tonight for the Lakers is doubtful – especially considering how much more valuable losses are for lottery teams at this stage of the season.

LA CLIPPERS ATS RECORD LA LAKERS ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
Record on the Road 17-15, 53% 200 Record at Home 10-19, 34% -900 LAC
VS LA Lakers 1-1, 50% -10 VS LA Clippers 1-1, 50% -10 EVEN
vs Team Under .500 20-6, 77% 1340 vs Team .500 or Better 8-27, 23% -2170 LAC
Record as Road Favorite 13-8, 62% 420 Record as Home Underdog 6-12, 33% -720 LAC
After 1 or More Days Off 28-20, 58% +600 After 1 or More Days Off 26-21, 55% +290 LAC

Photo Credit: Noah Graham/NBAE via Getty Images

All projection data provided by AccuScore

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Rohit Ghosh

LA Clippers beat writer
Rohit is an L.A.-based sports journalist who contributes to SB Nation's Silver Screen and Roll, AccuScore, and the Taxi Squad Show based out of Utah. He also runs his own sports blog, Metta Chronicles. Follow him on Twitter @RohitGhosh where he discusses AccuScore projection data, a variety of sports-related topics, and even some Jazz music.