Sports Out West

Los Angeles Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies: AccuScore Preview

AccuScore has the Los Angeles Clippers as solid 62.5 percent favorites to win Friday night’s matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies. After 10,000 simulations, the average rounded score is 99-94, with there being just a 50.1 percent chance the total combined score goes over 193.5. The Clippers covered the -1.5 spread in nearly 60 percent of simulated games. Whereas the home team has a slightly higher probability at a close win (4 points or less), the Clippers have nearly three times the chance of the Grizzlies at a big win (10 points or more). 

Projected Leaders

Blake Griffin: 23 points (52% FG), 10 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 block, 2 turnovers

Chris Paul: 15 points (47% FG), 8 assists, 4 rebounds, 1 steal, 2 turnovers

Zach Randolph: 15 points (46% FG), 10 rebounds (3 OREB), 2 assists, 2 turnovers

Mike Conley: 14 points (45% FG), 6 assists, 2 steals, 2 turnovers

LA CLIPPERS ATS RECORD MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
Record on the Road 14-14, 50% 0 Record at Home 15-14, 52% 100 Memphis Grizzlies
VS Memphis Grizzlies 1-1, 50% -10 VS LA Clippers 1-1, 50% -10 EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better 13-12, 52% -20 vs Team .500 or Better 10-15, 40% -650 LA Clippers
Record as Road Favorite 11-7, 61% 330 Record as Home Underdog 2-6, 25% -460 LA Clippers
After 1 or More Days Off 24-19, 56% +310 After 1 or More Days Off 18-24, 43% -840 LA Clippers

 

What to Watch for

There’s no doubt that Blake Griffin is having his best season yet – finally adding components to his game in addition to his unstoppable athleticism. In the eleven regular season games the two have played against one another, Griffin has averaged just 15.7 ppg on 47.6 percent shooting. Anyone looking at those numbers knows that they are well below his potential, given how successfully he has led the Clippers this year with Chris Paul being injured. 

Just as it took some time for LeBron James to get over the hurdle that was the Boston Celtics, expect Griffin to send a message Friday night in Memphis. 

Prediction

It’s tough not to go with AccuScore on this one – LAC is the better team and Griffin is the one with something to prove. Another sub-par game against Memphis will do nothing but bring Griffin’s confidence level back to square one – at least in my very humble opinion. The game is in Memphis – should be somewhat defense-heavy. 101-95, Clippers win. 

Photo Credit: USA Today Sports

All projection data provided by AccuScore

 

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Rohit Ghosh

LA Clippers beat writer
Rohit is an L.A.-based sports journalist who contributes to SB Nation's Silver Screen and Roll, AccuScore, and the Taxi Squad Show based out of Utah. He also runs his own sports blog, Metta Chronicles. Follow him on Twitter @RohitGhosh where he discusses AccuScore projection data, a variety of sports-related topics, and even some Jazz music.