Los Angeles Clippers coach Doc Rivers will make his debut back at TD Garden on Wednesday night in what is expected to be a fairly lopsided matchup. AccuScore has the Clippers (14-8) as solid 68.4 percent favorites Wednesday night against the Boston Celtics (10-13). The average score after 10,000 simulations is 98-92, with the Clippers having just a 50.1 percent chance of covering the -6 spread. Since the Clippers average just 98.2 points per game on the road compared to their 111.2 points per game average at home, it’s understandable why there is a 60 percent chance the total combined score will stay under 195.5. Boston’s only legitimate chance at a win is to keep the game within four points in the fourth quarter – the Celtics’ probability at a close win (four points or less) is the only projected stat that is competitive with that of the Clippers.
“It’s going to be a hard night. You don’t spend nine years in a place and win a title and be normal when the game starts.” – Doc Rivers, via Celtics Twitter feed
Chris Paul: 17 points, 10 assists, 2 steals, 2 TOs
Blake Griffin: 19 points, 11 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 TOs
DeAndre Jordan: 9 points, 11 rebounds, 2 blocks
Jeff Green: 16 points, 5 rebounds, 2 assists
Jordan Crawford: 14 points, 4 assists, 4 rebounds, 2 TOs
Jared Sullinger: 11 points, 8 rebounds
What to Watch for
Forward Stephen Jackson, whom the Clippers signed earlier on December 9, is expected to play some minutes Wednesday night against Boston – at least that’s what the simulations suggest. With the injuries to Matt Barnes (torn retina), J.J. Redick (elbow ligament damage, fractured hand), and Reggie Bullock (ankle sprain), the Clippers could use some of Jackson’s toughness and outside shooting. If he does suit up Wednesday, he is projected to score 4 points, grab 2 rebounds, and get 1 steal against the Celtics.
No matter which way you look at it, there is absolutely no reason for the Clippers to lose this game. By the second half rolls around, they should have a fairly comfortable lead. What should happen, however, doesn’t always happen. I expect Boston to stay competitive, but the result to ultimately go L.A.’s way. Clippers by 8, 101-93.
Photo Credit: Stephen Dunn / Getty Images
All projection data is provided by AccuScore.