Just nine days after pulling out a close 109-107 victory against the Minnesota Timberwolves (7-5) at home, the Los Angeles Clippers (7-4) get another chance to face Kevin Love and company on Wednesday – this time in Minnesota. While Chris Paul will be looking to record his 12th consecutive double-double to start the 2013-2014 NBA season, the Clippers are hoping to extend their winning streak over the Timberwolves to seven straight games. Can the Clippers take advantage of a fatigued Timberwolves team coming home for the second night of a back-to-back?
AccuScore simulations have the Clippers as slight 58.9 percent favorites against the Timberwolves. The average score after 10,000 simulations is 105-102, with the Clippers having a 58.9 percent chance of covering the +1 spread. If betting on the over/under for the game, there is a fairly high probability the total score stays below 213 – in the simulations, nearly 61 percent of the games had a total combined score of less than 213.
Chris Paul: 21 points, 13 assists, 5 rebounds, 1 steal
Blake Griffin: 21 points, 11 rebounds, 1 block
Jamal Crawford: 14 points (two three-pointers), 3 assists
Kevin Love: 24 points (two three-pointers), 13 rebounds
Kevin Martin: 19 points (two three-pointers), 2 rebounds, 2 assists
Ricky Rubio: 8 points, 6 assists, 2 steals
What to Watch for
Keep an eye out for the pace of Wednesday night’s game in Minnesota. As of November 20, the Clippers are No. 1 in the league in scoring (109.3 points per game) and the Timberwolves are No. 3 at 107.8. At home, Minnesota is averaging nearly 110 points per game en route to a 5-1 record thus far. AccuScore simulations indicate that Minnesota will shoot 44 percent from the field on Wednesday, on par with their season average at home (44.2 percent).
Although the data points to a Clippers victory, I will pick the Timberwolves in this matchup. They’re at home, and even though this is the second game of a back-to-back for them, I expect Kevin Martin to have a huge game. Martin went 4-17 from the field Tuesday night, and I’m fairly sure that he won’t have back-to-back performances like that. Minnesota by 5.
Photo Credit: WCB Sports
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